This
system is basically about projecting a team's rate of improvement, using whichever playing surface applies to the
game
If a game is played on turf take
each teams last 3 games on that surface and likewise if the game is being played on
grass, and compare their results, going from most recent result back.
Example:
New Orleans
Saints at Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
Game
3(most recent game) = Lost by 3 points
Game 2 = Lost by 17 points
Game 1 = Lost by 31 points
The
pattern shows a 14 point rate of improvement in each game, meaning that if this form holds they should win this game
by 11 points.
Seattle Seahawks
Game 3(most recent game) = Won by 3 points
Game 2 = Won by
14 points
Game 1 = Not available because we only use results from current season
The
pattern here shows a team declining in performance
The conclusion was that New Orleans would win
this game by 11 points in Seattle as a 6.5 point underdog.
The final score was 28-17 for New Orleans,
yes it was, and yes we bet it and cashed out very nicely.
As mentioned, the system is a complete shot in the dark
and untested, so use it at your own risk, but we put it up here
because it fired very nicely first time out, it nailed the game perfectly which is rare for any system.
