When a team is playing the last game of a road trip
you should always bet on them to lose and not cover the spread.
This is especially true if a team is
not a noted road winner team and is coming off of a road win in their previous game,
in this situation it is a good idea to bet a bit more than you normally would on them to lose.
Be
careful in situations where a team has played 2-3 road games in a row and lost them all, no team likes to go 0 for
the entire trip.
Alternatively you might
want to take a shot on the road team in this situation, as you will be getting astronomical odds
most likely, try to get +350 and up on the money line and around 8 points against the
spread, also make sure your road dog wins over 35%
of their road games on average.
That particular situation is a rare exception, normally i would
never suggest betting on the road team to win in NBA Basketball.
If
a team played the previous day, bet against them, if they won the previous day, bet against them, if they played on
the road the previous day, bet against them, if they won on the road
the previous day, bet against them, if they won big on the road
the previous day, bet against them.
For example, if a team played Friday Night on the road, and
play again Saturday Night, you should bet on them to lose the
game on Saturday, it is also more likely they will lose if they played a tough game on Friday, one in which they battled
hard to pull out a win, or if they travelled some distance, or
if the Saturday game is played in the afternoon or early evening,
generally the shorter the time to recouperate the worse it is.
Other things to watch for on the road are teams that play a one game road trip not too far away from home, they tend
to perform better in these games opposed to longer road trips.
A team playing their first game of a road trip in a different
time zone usually will not play well, as they are still adjusting to the change, for example, a team flying from the East
coast to play on the West coast.
