It's not always a good idea to increase the size of your bet if you feel particularly strong about a teams chance
of winning, however there are some very good times to make a
big bet.
On a game like the Super Bowl, bet big, in any situation where there is a lot of money bet,
the rule is that there is a lot of money to be won, so always
bet more than you normally would on these special occassions.
Another good spot to make a large
bet is when a team finds themself in a must win situation, like a team needing to win
their last game of the season in order to make the playoffs, especially if they are playing good,
watch out for these backpeddlers who find themself in a must
win game because they've lost their last 3 games, don't bet on those teams.
Another general
rule to follow is, don't bet on bad teams, even if you think their opponent is much worse, if you really
have a feeling about the game you can bet it, but don't increase the
size of your bets on these kinds of games.
If you're looking at placing a futures bet on a
team, always bet them after they lose a game, never bet them while they
are on a winning streak, if you use a place like Betfair or Mansion, you can buy them high and sell them low,
turning a quick buck in the process.
One
thing to remember about futures betting is that there is never any hurry, in most cases if a team is 50-1 in week
one, they will be 50-1 again sometime in the next 16 weeks. The best
time to make a futures bet is during the second half of the
season, the 3/4 point is my favourite spot usually, at that point you normally have half of the teams in the league
with a legitimate chance to make the playoffs, and at the same time
you are able to guage their performance level accurately. Once
you find your team at a nice price, look at things like who they play in their last 4 games, the health status of their
players, are they injury free and looking good, envision them
in the playoffs, who will they likely have to play and where,
how would they match up, look at all of these things, doing this at the 3/4 point of the season is perfect because you know
pretty much what you are getting with regards to your team,
and also many teams will still be in the playoff hunt so you will
get good enough odds.
